Best Bet: R5 #5 – Get Stuck In
Comment: Trial was good leading into a very good fresh run. Well placed in this.
Next Best: R9 #2 – Macewen
Comment: Good speed means he can land in the right spot and loves this track.
Best Value: R1 #4 – Metamorphic
Comment: Will appreciate the harder Eagle Farm surface and looks value.
Best Roughie: R6 #6 – Air Spirit
Comment: very tough race, feel she has a lot of upside and tempo suits.
Quaddie:
Leg 1 (R6) – 2, 6, 8, 11
Leg 2 (R7) – 1, 2, 8
Leg 3 (R8) – 2, 8, 9
Leg 4 (R9) – 2, 10, 11
Race 1 – MEMBERSHIPS @ BRC Class 3 Plate
4 – Metamorphic
6 – Malawi Gold
5 – La Jument
3 – Let’s Party Marty
Race Overview: If there is ever a horse you’d think is suited to Eagle Farm, it’s Metamorphic. He’s a dead-set dry-track horse who is best on a big track. Eagle Farm is always dry yet all his seven runs in Queensland have been at Doomben? Gets his chance here at good odds from a good gate. Malawi Gold always runs well, the issue is he has only won two and placed on eight occasions. His last start was a career best and will be around the money again. La Jument is 2/2 and Stewart rides. Couldn’t have been much more impressive in both starts. Has to step up in grade again and this is clearly toughest task to date.
Race 2 – XXXX DRY QTIS Two-Years-Old Handicap
2 – Bellissimi Amici
1 – Tumbler Ridge
3 – Cosmic Gossip
5 – Magic Conqueror
Race Overview: Tumbler Ridge and Bellissimi Amici were excellent fighting out a finish here a fortnight ago. That has to be the best form line and expecting them to do the same here. Bellissimi Amici meets Tumbler Ridge 4.5kg better off at the weights and that just gives her the nod over him here. Cosmic Gossip is on the seven-day back-up from the Jewel, expecting Eagle Farm to suit.
Race 3 – SOUTHS SPORTS CLUB BENCHMARK 75 Handicap
1 – Ruby Guru
2 – Breakdance
4 – Holbrook
6 – Dream Builder
Race Overview: Many of these mix their form horribly. Big drop in grade for Ruby Guru. Does go up in weight but clearly one of the more consistent types in this. Breakdance has the big weight and that is a concern, the positive is he enjoys this hard Eagle Farm track and performs well here. Holbrook and Brocson were both good last start, both can be hard to catch and don’t win out of turn. Not a great race by any means.
Race 4 – TULLOCH HOUSE BENCHMARK 70 Handicap
9 – Winning Shot
7 – The Great Boombino
3 – Stellar Power
2 – Papa Jo
Race Overview: Tough race to assess. Stellar Power and The Great Boombino will both land in the first two pairs and both take claims. The Great Boombino has been in career-best form and 1000m is ideal. Stellar Power was wide the trip and forgiving the last run, can improve here. Winning Shot is the horse with upside. She has won three of six to date and although beaten fresh was brave with 61kg. This is harder but she will be fitter and gets a beautiful run in transit.
Race 5 – GALLOPERS SPORTS CLUB OPEN Handicap
5 – Get Stuck In
4 – Trevelyan
1 – Prioritise
7 – Femme Fireball
Race Overview: Prioritise should be able to lead as he likes and looks a slow tempo. He’s in good form so I’d expect a decent kick. Nothdurft is the best jock in Queensland at the moment and he steers Get Stuck In. The fresh run was full of merit, that was on the back of a good trial so every chance he’s come back even better. Should be able to box seat here. Trevelyan more than up to these. Had a long prep and came to the end of it last start. No trial and money will tell the story.
Race 6 – ASCOT GREEN QTIS Three-Years-Old Handicap
6 – Air Spirit
2 – Go Deep
8 – Leadership Spill
11 – The Move
Race Overview: Go Deep was average fresh, horrible second-up and outstanding third run back. He’s been impossible to follow but we know he’s very good on his day. If he brings his best, he is the horse to beat. Gollan has a strong hand with four leading hopes. The stable might feel The Move is potentially the best of them. Don’t sell the others short. Leadership Spill is lightly raced and has been thrown in the deep but has performed well. Light weight in this and will look the winner. Air Spirit comes out of a much easier race that she won. She always travels well, and she can be strong late at big odds. Very even race this.
Race 7 – MOET & CHANDON CHAIRMANS CLUB QTIS Three-Years-Old Handicap
2 – Star Of Michelin
8 – Red Bloom
1 – Profit
6 – Prospectus
Race Overview: Profit gets the perfect run and good booking of Stewart. Feel this prep has been messy and might have been better in the paddock. Slow tempo is the big concern for Star Of Michelin but it’s a case of the further they go the better he will be. Out to 1500m suits and he will be the one flashing late with the bright orange cap! Red Bloom had no luck in the straight last start and the effort was every bit as good as Star Of Michelin. Can find a spot in the first two pairs and get a tempo to suit. Opened $14, which looks overs.
Race 8 – TAB BENCHMARK 80 Handicap
8 – Slow Hands
9 – Calibration
2 – Plitvice
1 – Master Zephyr
Race Overview: Three of the main chances have drawn double-figure gates from this tricky starting point. The Plitvice and Slow Hands form has been exceptional as they work their way through the grades. They ran the quinella here a fortnight ago. Plitvice was wide the trip and excellent to win. Slow Hands savaged the line, out to this trip is ideal. Both need good rides early and the gates are a little concern. Of those at big odds, Master Zephyr drops in grade and should be ridden more forward here. Calibration goes up in grade but gets the lightest weight he’s had in a long time. Sweet run in transit and fitter for recent racing.
Race 9 – EVA AIR Class 6 Plate
2 – Macewen
11 – Boomtown Lass
10 – Epic Girl
7 – Langhro
Race Overview: Good race to finish the day and I’m just leaning to race fitness. Macewen is far better on the Eagle Farm track than he is over the road. More than a pass mark fresh when third to Grey Missile, who was beaten a nose in the Goldmarket last week. He improves with racing and may just need this but can find the back of the main dangers and get last crack. Boomtown Lass gets the run of the race and she doesn’t know how to run a bad race. Lightweight, she will kick and be the horse they have to run down.
